UCF Knights 65-78 SMU Mustangs

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is UCF Knights to win, with a 66% model probability. We also predict UCF Knights to win with +4.5 handicap at 74%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 UCF Knights to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Med 47.9/100
    Odds 2.88 Betfair Recorded P/L -47.87
    Best odds 2.88 Betfair
  2. Pick 2 UCF Knights to win with +4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    74%
    Stake Med 47.5/100
    Odds 1.98 Betano Recorded P/L -47.47
    Best odds 1.98 Betano
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 139.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    71%
    Stake Med 46.8/100
    Odds 2.20 Betway Recorded P/L -46.83
    Best odds 2.20 Betway
Odds updated
Match analysis

UCF Knights vs SMU Mustangs prediction review

UCF Knights and SMU Mustangs met in NCAA on Saturday, 23 January 2021, with the event ending 65-78.

For the moneyline market, BetFTW favours UCF Knights to win at 66%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.88, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the spread market. The model selects UCF Knights to win with +4.5 handicap, assigning the outcome a 74% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.98. Of the two available picks, UCF Knights to win with +4.5 handicap carries the higher model probability at 74% compared with 66%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.88. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.