Mississippi State 58-72 Louisville

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Mississippi State to win, with a 71% model probability. We also predict Mississippi State to win with -2.5 handicap at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Mississippi State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    71%
    Stake Med 44.6/100
    Odds 2.10 Bet365 Recorded P/L -44.64
    Best odds 2.10 Bet365
  2. Pick 2 Mississippi State to win with -2.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    67%
    Stake Med 36.7/100
    Odds 2.09 Betobet Recorded P/L -36.72
    Best odds 2.09 Betobet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Mississippi State vs Louisville prediction review

Mississippi State vs Louisville took place in NCAA on Friday, 26 November 2021 and ended with a 58-72 final score.

The leading model-based prediction for Mississippi State vs Louisville is Mississippi State to win, with a calculated probability of 71%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.10, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the spread market. The model selects Mississippi State to win with -2.5 handicap, assigning the outcome a 67% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.09. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to Mississippi State to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.10. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.