SMU Mustangs 77-69 Dayton

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Dayton to win, with a 45% model probability. We also predict over 137.0 points at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Dayton to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    45%
    Stake Med 34.4/100
    Odds 6.20 NEO.bet Recorded P/L -34.42
    Best odds 6.20 NEO.bet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 137.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    55%
    Stake Low 15.9/100
    Odds 2.15 Circus Recorded P/L +18.25
    Best odds 2.15 Circus
  3. Pick 3 Dayton to win with +5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    60%
    Stake Low 8.1/100
    Odds 1.77 Jetbull Recorded P/L -8.05
    Best odds 1.77 Jetbull
Odds updated
Match analysis

SMU Mustangs vs Dayton prediction review

SMU Mustangs and Dayton met in NCAA on Thursday, 9 December 2021, with the event ending 77-69.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Dayton to win and assigns the outcome a 45% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 6.20, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the total-points market. BetFTW rates over 137 points at 55%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.15. Of the two available picks, over 137 points carries the higher model probability at 55% compared with 45%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 6.20. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.