Illinois State 78-75 Valparaiso

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Illinois State to win with -5.5 handicap, with a 59% model probability. We also predict Illinois State to win at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Illinois State to win with -5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Low 24.6/100
    Odds 2.19 Stake.com Recorded P/L -24.55
    Best odds 2.19 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 Illinois State to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Low 17.4/100
    Odds 1.57 ComeOn Recorded P/L +9.90
    Best odds 1.57 ComeOn
Odds updated
Match analysis

Illinois State vs Valparaiso prediction review

Illinois State and Valparaiso met in NCAA on Thursday, 10 February 2022, with the event ending 78-75.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Illinois State to win with -5.5 handicap and assigns the outcome a 59% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.19, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the moneyline market. BetFTW rates Illinois State to win at 70%, compared with latest recorded odds of 1.57. While Illinois State to win is the higher-probability selection, Illinois State to win with -5.5 handicap provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.19. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.