Duke 85-76 Michigan State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Duke to win, with a 76% model probability. We also predict over 145.0 points at 78%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Duke to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    76%
    Stake High 65.8/100
    Odds 3.35 Bet365 Recorded P/L +154.61
    Best odds 3.35 Bet365
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 145.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    78%
    Stake High 53.3/100
    Odds 1.89 NetBet Recorded P/L +52.88
    Best odds 1.96 Sugarhouse
  3. Pick 3 Duke to win with -7.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Med 33.5/100
    Odds 2.18 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +39.52
    Best odds 2.18 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Duke vs Michigan State prediction review

Duke and Michigan State met in NCAA on Sunday, 20 March 2022, with the event ending 85-76.

BetFTW's model rates Duke to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 76%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 3.35, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the total-points market. For this market, over 145 points carries a 78% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.89. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to over 145 points. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 3.35. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.