Louisville 90-84 New Mexico State Aggies

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is New Mexico State Aggies to win, with a 38% model probability. We also predict New Mexico State Aggies to win with +8.5 handicap at 60%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 New Mexico State Aggies to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 17.6/100
    Odds 4.04 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -17.61
    Best odds 4.04 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 New Mexico State Aggies to win with +8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    60%
    Stake Low 16.8/100
    Odds 1.93 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +15.59
    Best odds 1.93 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 144.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    55%
    Stake Low 15.9/100
    Odds 2.15 22Bet Recorded P/L +18.25
    Best odds 2.15 22Bet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Louisville vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction review

Louisville vs New Mexico State Aggies took place in NCAA on Sunday, 26 November 2023 and ended with a 90-84 final score.

BetFTW gives New Mexico State Aggies to win a 38% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The prediction's latest recorded price is 4.04, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the spread market. The model selects New Mexico State Aggies to win with +8.5 handicap, assigning the outcome a 60% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.93. Of the two available picks, New Mexico State Aggies to win with +8.5 handicap carries the higher model probability at 60% compared with 38%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 4.04. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.