North Carolina Tar Heels 85-69 Michigan State

Finished

For this March Madness match, BetFTW's top pick is over 140.5 points, with a 72% model probability. We also predict over 141.0 points at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 140.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    72%
    Stake Med 42.6/100
    Odds 1.95 Betway Recorded P/L +40.46
    Best odds 1.95 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 141.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Med 37.4/100
    Odds 1.92 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +40.00
    Best odds 2.00 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 North Carolina Tar Heels to win with -4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    54%
    Stake Low 11.8/100
    Odds 2.09 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +12.86
    Best odds 2.09 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Michigan State prediction review

North Carolina Tar Heels and Michigan State met in March Madness on Saturday, 23 March 2024, with the event ending 85-69.

For the total-points market, BetFTW favours over 140.5 points at 72%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.95, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick also comes from the total-points market. The model selects over 141 points, assigning the outcome a 70% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.92. over 140.5 points is rated more highly by the model, at 72% compared with 70% for over 141 points. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.95. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.