Aguada Penarol Montevideo

For this UBL match, BetFTW's top pick is over 164.5 points, with a 84% model probability. We also predict Aguada to win at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 164.5 Open - settles at full-time.
    Event probability
    84%
    Stake High 68.3/100
    Odds 2.02 STS
    Best odds 2.02 STS
  2. Pick 2 Aguada to win Open - settles at full-time.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Med 49.6/100
    Odds 5.35 STS
    Best odds 5.35 STS
  3. Pick 3 Aguada to win with +3.5 handicap Open - settles at full-time.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Med 30.2/100
    Odds 1.95 STS
    Best odds 1.95 STS
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aguada vs Penarol Montevideo prediction preview

Aguada take on Penarol Montevideo in UBL, with the event scheduled for .

BetFTW gives over 164.5 points a 84% probability, making it the top-ranked pick for this event. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.02, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the moneyline market. For this market, Aguada to win carries a 59% model probability and latest recorded odds of 5.35. over 164.5 points is rated more highly by the model, at 84% compared with 59% for Aguada to win.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 2.02. BetFTW compares estimated event probabilities with recorded bookmaker odds when ranking predictions. The stake band reflects calculated edge rather than certainty about the result.