Bologna Derthona

Sunday, 20 Oct 2024, 17:15 BST

For this Lega A match, BetFTW's top pick is under 158.0 points, with a 61% model probability. We also predict under 153.0 points at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

Pick 1 Total score under 158.0 Open - settles at full-time.

Event probability
61%

Stake Med 37.2/100

Odds 2.64 NEO.bet 21 Oct 03:10 BST

Best odds 2.64 NEO.bet 21 Oct 03:10 BST
Pick 2 Total score under 153.0 Open - settles at full-time.

Event probability
48%

Stake Med 26.3/100

Odds 3.40 DraftKings 20 Oct 06:15 BST

Best odds 3.40 DraftKings 20 Oct 06:15 BST
Pick 3 Derthona to win Open - settles at full-time.

Event probability
24%

Stake Low 6.7/100

Odds 5.40 Betano 21 Oct 03:10 BST

Best odds 6.30 NEO.bet 20 Oct 00:15 BST

Match analysis

Bologna vs Derthona prediction preview

The Lega A event between Bologna and Derthona takes place on Sunday, 20 Oct 2024, 17:15 BST.

The model's strongest available selection is under 158 points, rated at 61%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.64, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band.

A second available pick also comes from the total-points market. For this market, under 153 points carries a 48% model probability and latest recorded odds of 3.40. Within the total-points market, the model assigns the higher probability to under 158 points.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.64. BetFTW compares estimated event probabilities with recorded bookmaker odds when ranking predictions. The stake band reflects calculated edge rather than certainty about the result.