Nacional 73-82 Aguada

Finished

For this UBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Nacional to win, with a 79% model probability. We also predict Nacional to win with -2.5 handicap at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Nacional to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    79%
    Stake High 54.0/100
    Odds 1.84 FanDuel Recorded P/L -54.00
    Best odds 1.84 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Nacional to win with -2.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    76%
    Stake High 53.1/100
    Odds 2.05 Interwetten Recorded P/L -53.14
    Best odds 2.05 Interwetten
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 172.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    69%
    Stake Med 35.3/100
    Odds 1.92 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +32.48
    Best odds 1.92 Marathonbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Nacional vs Aguada prediction review

The UBL meeting between Nacional and Aguada finished 73-82 on Friday, 23 May 2025.

The leading model-based prediction for Nacional vs Aguada is Nacional to win, with a calculated probability of 79%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.84, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the spread market. For this market, Nacional to win with -2.5 handicap carries a 76% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.05. Of the two available picks, Nacional to win carries the higher model probability at 79% compared with 76%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.84. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.