San Miguel Beermen 103-92 Barangay Ginebra

Finished

For this PBA Philippine Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is San Miguel Beermen to win with +3.5 handicap, with a 71% model probability. We also predict San Miguel Beermen to win at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 San Miguel Beermen to win with +3.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    71%
    Stake Med 41.7/100
    Odds 1.99 Stake.com Recorded P/L +41.29
    Best odds 1.99 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 San Miguel Beermen to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Med 41.5/100
    Odds 2.60 bet365 Recorded P/L +66.40
    Best odds 2.60 bet365
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 186.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Low 22.6/100
    Odds 1.87 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -22.62
    Best odds 1.87 Marathonbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra prediction review

The PBA Philippine Cup meeting between San Miguel Beermen and Barangay Ginebra finished 103-92 on Friday, 4 July 2025.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects San Miguel Beermen to win with +3.5 handicap and assigns the outcome a 71% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.99, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the moneyline market. For this market, San Miguel Beermen to win carries a 64% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.60. Of the two available picks, San Miguel Beermen to win with +3.5 handicap carries the higher model probability at 71% compared with 64%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.99. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.