Tarleton State 76-62 Merrimack

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 143.0 points, with a 85% model probability. We also predict Merrimack to win at 40%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 143.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    85%
    Stake High 68.2/100
    Odds 1.89 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +60.65
    Best odds 1.89 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 Merrimack to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    40%
    Stake Low 9.1/100
    Odds 2.94 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -9.07
    Best odds 2.94 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Merrimack to win with +5.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    55%
    Stake Low 5.5/100
    Odds 1.91 bet365 Recorded P/L -5.50
    Best odds 1.91 bet365
Odds updated
Match analysis

Tarleton State vs Merrimack prediction review

The NCAA meeting between Tarleton State and Merrimack finished 76-62 on Wednesday, 12 November 2025.

BetFTW's model rates under 143 points as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 85%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.89, with BetFTW assigning it a High stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the moneyline market. For this market, Merrimack to win carries a 40% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.94. Of the two available picks, under 143 points carries the higher model probability at 85% compared with 40%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.89. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.