Mississippi State 81-87 SMU Mustangs

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 165.0 points, with a 83% model probability. We also predict Mississippi State to win with +1.5 handicap at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 165.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    83%
    Stake High 63.0/100
    Odds 1.85 Codere Recorded P/L -63.00
    Best odds 1.85 Codere
  2. Pick 2 Mississippi State to win with +1.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Med 25.0/100
    Odds 1.83 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -25.04
    Best odds 1.83 Vbet Sport
  3. Pick 3 Mississippi State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    62%
    Stake Low 23.2/100
    Odds 1.98 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -23.22
    Best odds 1.98 Vbet Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Mississippi State vs SMU Mustangs prediction review

The NCAA meeting between Mississippi State and SMU Mustangs finished 81-87 on Saturday, 29 November 2025.

Among the available predictions, under 165 points receives the highest model rating at 83%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.85, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The spread market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. Mississippi State to win with +1.5 handicap is rated at 66%, with latest recorded odds of 1.83. While under 165 points is the higher-probability selection, Mississippi State to win with +1.5 handicap provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 1.85. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.