Mercer 78-67 Georgia State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 154.0 points, with a 67% model probability. We also predict Mercer to win with -11.5 handicap at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 154.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    67%
    Stake Med 36.2/100
    Odds 2.07 Stake.com Recorded P/L +38.69
    Best odds 2.07 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 Mercer to win with -11.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    54%
    Stake Low 15.0/100
    Odds 2.18 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -15.02
    Best odds 2.18 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Georgia State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    24%
    Stake Low 8.8/100
    Odds 6.00 bet365 Recorded P/L -8.80
    Best odds 6.00 bet365
Odds updated
Match analysis

Mercer vs Georgia State prediction review

The final score was 78-67 when Mercer faced Georgia State in NCAA on Wednesday, 3 December 2025.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects under 154 points and assigns the outcome a 67% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.07, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The spread market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. The model selects Mercer to win with -11.5 handicap, assigning the outcome a 54% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.18. While under 154 points is the higher-probability selection, Mercer to win with -11.5 handicap provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.07. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.