Dayton 97-69 Florida State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 165.0 points, with a 76% model probability. We also predict Dayton to win with -7.5 handicap at 66%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 165.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    76%
    Stake Med 49.3/100
    Odds 1.90 10bet Recorded P/L -49.33
    Best odds 1.90 10bet
  2. Pick 2 Dayton to win with -7.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Med 34.2/100
    Odds 2.07 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +36.62
    Best odds 2.07 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Dayton to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    78%
    Stake Low 16.9/100
    Odds 1.36 1xBet Recorded P/L +9.20
    Best odds 1.40 bet365
Odds updated
Match analysis

Dayton vs Florida State prediction review

Dayton vs Florida State took place in NCAA on Wednesday, 17 December 2025 and ended with a 97-69 final score.

The model's strongest available selection is under 165 points, rated at 76%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.90, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the spread market. For this market, Dayton to win with -7.5 handicap carries a 66% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.07. While under 165 points is the higher-probability selection, Dayton to win with -7.5 handicap provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.90. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.