Vermont 64-55 UMBC

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Vermont to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 67% model probability. We also predict Vermont to win at 80%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Vermont to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    67%
    Stake Med 31.5/100
    Odds 1.93 Stake.com Recorded P/L +29.31
    Best odds 1.93 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 Vermont to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    80%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 1.28 Unibet Recorded P/L +2.40
    Best odds 1.28 Unibet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 140.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    52%
    Stake Low 6.3/100
    Odds 2.05 Fezbet Recorded P/L +6.60
    Best odds 2.05 Fezbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Vermont vs UMBC prediction review

NCAA action on Friday, 30 January 2026 included Vermont against UMBC, a match that finished 64-55.

BetFTW's model rates Vermont to win with -8.5 handicap as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 67%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 1.93 and falls into the Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the moneyline market. BetFTW rates Vermont to win at 80%, compared with latest recorded odds of 1.28. While Vermont to win is the higher-probability selection, Vermont to win with -8.5 handicap provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.93. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.