Louisville 88-74 SMU Mustangs

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 162.0 points, with a 66% model probability. We also predict SMU Mustangs to win at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 162.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    66%
    Stake Med 27.4/100
    Odds 1.88 Stake.com Recorded P/L -27.36
    Best odds 1.88 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 SMU Mustangs to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 23.2/100
    Odds 5.20 Stake.com Recorded P/L -23.24
    Best odds 5.20 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 SMU Mustangs to win with +10.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Low 20.6/100
    Odds 1.83 Fezbet Recorded P/L -20.63
    Best odds 1.83 Fezbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Louisville vs SMU Mustangs prediction review

The NCAA meeting between Louisville and SMU Mustangs finished 88-74 on Saturday, 31 January 2026.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects under 162 points and assigns the outcome a 66% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.88, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the moneyline market. For this market, SMU Mustangs to win carries a 38% model probability and latest recorded odds of 5.20. Of the two available picks, under 162 points carries the higher model probability at 66% compared with 38%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.88. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.