North Carolina Tar Heels 79-65 Pittsburgh

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is over 145.0 points, with a 70% model probability. We also predict North Carolina Tar Heels to win with -12.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 145.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Med 38.4/100
    Odds 1.95 Fezbet Recorded P/L -39.39
    Best odds 1.98 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 North Carolina Tar Heels to win with -12.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    57%
    Stake Low 16.1/100
    Odds 2.05 Betway Recorded P/L +20.84
    Best odds 2.12 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Pittsburgh to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    21%
    Stake Low 7.8/100
    Odds 7.00 Fezbet Recorded P/L -7.83
    Best odds 7.00 Fezbet
Odds updated
Match analysis

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Pittsburgh prediction review

North Carolina Tar Heels and Pittsburgh met in NCAA on Saturday, 14 February 2026, with the event ending 79-65.

The model's strongest available selection is over 145 points, rated at 70%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.95, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the spread market. For this market, North Carolina Tar Heels to win with -12.5 handicap carries a 57% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.05. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to over 145 points. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 1.98, compared with a latest recorded price of 1.95. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.