North Carolina Tar Heels 77-74 Louisville

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is North Carolina Tar Heels to win, with a 71% model probability. We also predict North Carolina Tar Heels to win with +4.5 handicap at 79%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 North Carolina Tar Heels to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    71%
    Stake High 54.1/100
    Odds 2.72 FanDuel Recorded P/L +93.12
    Best odds 2.72 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 North Carolina Tar Heels to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    79%
    Stake High 53.7/100
    Odds 1.83 1xBet Recorded P/L +44.57
    Best odds 1.83 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville prediction review

The NCAA meeting between North Carolina Tar Heels and Louisville finished 77-74 on Tuesday, 24 February 2026.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects North Carolina Tar Heels to win and assigns the outcome a 71% probability. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 2.72 and carries a High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the spread market. North Carolina Tar Heels to win with +4.5 handicap is rated at 79%, with latest recorded odds of 1.83. Of the two available picks, North Carolina Tar Heels to win with +4.5 handicap carries the higher model probability at 79% compared with 71%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.72. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.