Aguada 86-80 Penarol Montevideo

Finished

For this UBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Penarol Montevideo to win, with a 64% model probability. We also predict Penarol Montevideo to win with -2.5 handicap at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Penarol Montevideo to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Low 16.6/100
    Odds 1.76 GG.BET Recorded P/L -16.63
    Best odds 1.76 GG.BET
  2. Pick 2 Penarol Montevideo to win with -2.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    58%
    Stake Low 13.9/100
    Odds 1.95 DraftKings Recorded P/L -13.90
    Best odds 1.95 DraftKings
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aguada vs Penarol Montevideo prediction review

UBL action on Tuesday, 10 March 2026 included Aguada against Penarol Montevideo, a match that finished 86-80.

The model's strongest available selection is Penarol Montevideo to win, rated at 64%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 1.76 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the spread market. For this market, Penarol Montevideo to win with -2.5 handicap carries a 58% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.95. While Penarol Montevideo to win is the higher-probability selection, Penarol Montevideo to win with -2.5 handicap provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.76. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.