New Mexico Lobos 107-83 Sam Houston State

Finished

For this NIT match, BetFTW's top pick is over 166.0 points, with a 72% model probability. We also predict New Mexico Lobos to win with -12.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 166.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    72%
    Stake Med 49.1/100
    Odds 2.22 Stake.com Recorded P/L +59.84
    Best odds 2.22 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 New Mexico Lobos to win with -12.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    57%
    Stake Low 16.4/100
    Odds 2.06 Stake.com Recorded P/L +17.42
    Best odds 2.06 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 Sam Houston State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    21%
    Stake Low 6.9/100
    Odds 6.60 BC.Game Recorded P/L -6.89
    Best odds 6.60 BC.Game
Odds updated
Match analysis

New Mexico Lobos vs Sam Houston State prediction review

New Mexico Lobos and Sam Houston State met in NIT on Thursday, 19 March 2026, with the event ending 107-83.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects over 166 points and assigns the outcome a 72% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.22, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the spread market. For this market, New Mexico Lobos to win with -12.5 handicap carries a 57% model probability and latest recorded odds of 2.06. over 166 points is rated more highly by the model, at 72% compared with 57% for New Mexico Lobos to win with -12.5 handicap. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.22. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.