Penarol Montevideo 103-95 Aguada

Finished

For this UBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Penarol Montevideo to win with -5.5 handicap, with a 64% model probability. We also predict Penarol Montevideo to win at 74%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Penarol Montevideo to win with -5.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Med 28.0/100
    Odds 2.00 DraftKings Recorded P/L +28.00
    Best odds 2.00 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 Penarol Montevideo to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    74%
    Stake Low 18.1/100
    Odds 1.47 DraftKings Recorded P/L +8.51
    Best odds 1.47 DraftKings
Odds updated
Match analysis

Penarol Montevideo vs Aguada prediction review

The final score was 103-95 when Penarol Montevideo faced Aguada in UBL on Saturday, 18 April 2026.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Penarol Montevideo to win with -5.5 handicap and assigns the outcome a 64% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.00, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the moneyline market. Penarol Montevideo to win is rated at 74%, with latest recorded odds of 1.47. Of the two available picks, Penarol Montevideo to win carries the higher model probability at 74% compared with 64%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.00. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.