Nacional 82-84 Penarol Montevideo

Finished

For this UBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Nacional to win with -3.5 handicap, with a 61% model probability. We also predict Nacional to win at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Nacional to win with -3.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    61%
    Stake Low 17.2/100
    Odds 1.89 FanDuel Recorded P/L -17.18
    Best odds 1.89 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Nacional to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    68%
    Stake Low 12.0/100
    Odds 1.57 888sport Recorded P/L -11.96
    Best odds 1.57 888sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Nacional vs Penarol Montevideo prediction review

Nacional vs Penarol Montevideo took place in UBL on Thursday, 23 April 2026 and ended with a 82-84 final score.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Nacional to win with -3.5 handicap, which carries a 61% model probability. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 1.89 and carries a Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the moneyline market. The model selects Nacional to win, assigning the outcome a 68% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.57. Nacional to win is rated more highly by the model, at 68% compared with 61% for Nacional to win with -3.5 handicap. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.89. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.