Aguada 78-71 Penarol Montevideo

Finished

For this UBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Penarol Montevideo to win, with a 76% model probability. We also predict Penarol Montevideo to win with -3.5 handicap at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Penarol Montevideo to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    76%
    Stake High 50.8/100
    Odds 1.95 DraftKings Recorded P/L -50.80
    Best odds 1.95 DraftKings
  2. Pick 2 Penarol Montevideo to win with -3.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Med 50.0/100
    Odds 2.50 DraftKings Recorded P/L -50.00
    Best odds 2.50 DraftKings
  3. Pick 3 Penarol Montevideo to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    68%
    Stake Med 44.3/100
    Odds 2.35 DraftKings Recorded P/L -45.93
    Best odds 2.45 DraftKings
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aguada vs Penarol Montevideo prediction review

The final score was 78-71 when Aguada faced Penarol Montevideo in UBL on Saturday, 13 June 2026.

Among the available predictions, Penarol Montevideo to win receives the highest model rating at 76%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.95, with BetFTW assigning it a High stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the spread market. The model selects Penarol Montevideo to win with -3.5 handicap, assigning the outcome a 70% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.50. Penarol Montevideo to win is rated more highly by the model, at 76% compared with 70% for Penarol Montevideo to win with -3.5 handicap. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.95. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.