Burton Albion 1-1 Derby County

Finished

For this League One match, BetFTW's top pick is Derby County to win, with a 50% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Derby County to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    50%
    Stake Low 10.9/100
    Odds 2.28 Parimatch Recorded P/L -11.83
    Best odds 2.31 Parimatch
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    54%
    Stake Low 5.6/100
    Odds 1.95 Holland Casino Recorded P/L +5.30
    Best odds 1.95 Holland Casino
Odds updated
Match analysis

Burton Albion vs Derby County prediction review

League One action on Saturday, 10 December 2022 included Burton Albion against Derby County, a match that finished 1-1.

Among the available predictions, Derby County to win receives the highest model rating at 50%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.28, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the goals market. BetFTW rates under 2.5 goals at 54%, compared with latest recorded odds of 1.95. under 2.5 goals is rated more highly by the model, at 54% compared with 50% for Derby County to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.31, compared with a latest recorded price of 2.28. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.