Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is under 2.5 goals, with a 45% model probability. We also predict the draw at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    45%
    Stake Low 14.4/100
    Odds 2.80 Vave Recorded P/L -14.44
    Best odds 2.80 Vave
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    28%
    Stake Low 5.6/100
    Odds 4.21 1xBet Recorded P/L -5.60
    Best odds 4.22 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction review

The Premier League meeting between Aston Villa and Newcastle finished 1-3 on Tuesday, 30 January 2024.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects under 2.5 goals and assigns the outcome a 45% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.80, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the match-result market. The model selects the draw, assigning the outcome a 28% probability at latest recorded odds of 4.21. under 2.5 goals is rated more highly by the model, at 45% compared with 28% for the draw. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.80. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.