Manchester City 4-1 Aston Villa

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 69% model probability. We also predict Manchester City to win at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    69%
    Stake Low 12.6/100
    Odds 1.55 Dafabet Recorded P/L +11.47
    Best odds 1.57 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Manchester City to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    76%
    Stake Low 11.1/100
    Odds 1.37 Circus Recorded P/L +4.12
    Best odds 1.37 Circus
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    19%
    Stake Low 5.4/100
    Odds 6.95 Betwinner Recorded P/L -6.73
    Best odds 7.60 Suprabets
Odds updated
Match analysis

Manchester City vs Aston Villa prediction review

Manchester City vs Aston Villa took place in Premier League on Wednesday, 3 April 2024 and ended with a 4-1 final score.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects over 2.5 goals and assigns the outcome a 69% probability. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 1.55 and carries a Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the match-result market. Manchester City to win is rated at 76%, with latest recorded odds of 1.37. Manchester City to win is rated more highly by the model, at 76% compared with 69% for over 2.5 goals. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 1.57, compared with a latest recorded price of 1.55. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.