Aston Villa 2-2 Chelsea

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 77% model probability. We also predict Chelsea to win at 48%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    77%
    Stake Med 39.9/100
    Odds 1.62 Novibet Recorded P/L +24.74
    Best odds 1.62 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Chelsea to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    48%
    Stake Med 26.3/100
    Odds 3.40 Unibet Recorded P/L -26.33
    Best odds 3.40 Unibet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction review

Aston Villa vs Chelsea took place in Premier League on Saturday, 27 April 2024 and ended with a 2-2 final score.

The model's strongest available selection is over 2.5 goals, rated at 77%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.62, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

A second available pick comes from the match-result market. Chelsea to win is rated at 48%, with latest recorded odds of 3.40. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 goals carries the higher model probability at 77% compared with 48%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 1.62. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.