Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle

Finished

For this FA Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Newcastle to win, with a 61% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 52%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Newcastle to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    61%
    Stake Low 19.3/100
    Odds 1.93 PowerPlay Recorded P/L +17.92
    Best odds 1.93 PowerPlay
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    52%
    Stake Low 16.4/100
    Odds 2.35 Caesars Recorded P/L -9.52
    Best odds 2.55 Vave
Odds updated
Match analysis

Birmingham vs Newcastle prediction review

Birmingham and Newcastle met in FA Cup on Saturday, 8 February 2025, with the event ending 2-3.

The leading model-based prediction for Birmingham vs Newcastle is Newcastle to win, with a calculated probability of 61%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.93, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the goals market. The model selects under 2.5 goals, assigning the outcome a 52% probability at latest recorded odds of 2.35. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to Newcastle to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.93. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.