Derby County 0-1 Millwall

Finished

For this Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is under 2.5 goals, with a 65% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 35%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    65%
    Stake Low 12.8/100
    Odds 1.67 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +8.55
    Best odds 1.67 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    35%
    Stake Low 7.7/100
    Odds 3.38 Dafabet Recorded P/L -7.69
    Best odds 3.38 Dafabet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Derby County vs Millwall prediction review

The final score was 0-1 when Derby County faced Millwall in Championship on Saturday, 22 February 2025.

For the goals market, BetFTW favours under 2.5 goals at 65%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.67, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The goals market provides another BetFTW selection for this event. The model selects over 2.5 goals, assigning the outcome a 35% probability at latest recorded odds of 3.38. Of the two available picks, under 2.5 goals carries the higher model probability at 65% compared with 35%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.67. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.