Swansea City 1-0 Derby County

Finished

For this Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Swansea City to win, with a 74% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 56%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Swansea City to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    74%
    Stake High 52.0/100
    Odds 2.18 Vave Recorded P/L +61.32
    Best odds 2.18 Vave
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    56%
    Stake Med 25.7/100
    Odds 2.45 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -25.66
    Best odds 2.45 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Swansea City vs Derby County prediction review

Swansea City vs Derby County took place in Championship on Saturday, 5 April 2025 and ended with a 1-0 final score.

The leading model-based prediction for Swansea City vs Derby County is Swansea City to win, with a calculated probability of 74%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.18, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the goals market. over 2.5 goals is rated at 56%, with latest recorded odds of 2.45. While Swansea City to win is the higher-probability selection, over 2.5 goals provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 2.18. Published prediction data remains visible after settlement, including the model probability, recorded prices, stake and outcome.