Birmingham 1-1 Derby County

Finished

BetFTW predicts over 2.5 goals for Birmingham vs Derby County, with a 64% model probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Med 35.2/100
    Odds 2.25 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -42.00
    Best odds 2.32 Casumo Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Birmingham vs Derby County prediction review

The Championship meeting between Birmingham and Derby County finished 1-1 on Friday, 26 December 2025.

The leading model-based prediction for Birmingham vs Derby County is over 2.5 goals, with a calculated probability of 64%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.25, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 2.32, above its latest recorded odds of 2.25. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.