Burnley 1-3 Newcastle

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Burnley to win, with a 31% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Burnley to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    31%
    Stake Low 17.2/100
    Odds 6.00 BetVictor Recorded P/L -17.20
    Best odds 6.00 BetVictor
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    58%
    Stake Low 13.8/100
    Odds 1.95 10bet Recorded P/L +13.10
    Best odds 1.95 10bet
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    27%
    Stake Low 5.7/100
    Odds 4.42 GG.BET Recorded P/L -5.65
    Best odds 4.42 GG.BET
Odds updated
Match analysis

Burnley vs Newcastle prediction review

Premier League action on Tuesday, 30 December 2025 included Burnley against Newcastle, a match that finished 1-3.

BetFTW's model rates Burnley to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 31%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 6.00, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the goals market. For this market, over 2.5 goals carries a 58% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.95. While over 2.5 goals is the higher-probability selection, Burnley to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 6.00. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.