Moreirense 1-0 CD Tondela

Finished

For this Primeira Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is Moreirense to win, with a 75% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Moreirense to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    75%
    Stake High 57.0/100
    Odds 2.39 1xBet Recorded P/L +79.24
    Best odds 2.39 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    58%
    Stake Med 28.7/100
    Odds 2.44 1xBet Recorded P/L -28.73
    Best odds 2.44 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Moreirense vs CD Tondela prediction review

The Primeira Liga meeting between Moreirense and CD Tondela finished 1-0 on Sunday, 11 January 2026.

Among the available predictions, Moreirense to win receives the highest model rating at 75%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.39, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The goals market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. BetFTW rates over 2.5 goals at 58%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.44. Of the two available picks, Moreirense to win carries the higher model probability at 75% compared with 58%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.39. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.