Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Moreirense

Finished

For this Primeira Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is Vitoria Guimaraes to win, with a 77% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 47%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Vitoria Guimaraes to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    77%
    Stake High 57.2/100
    Odds 2.16 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +69.40
    Best odds 2.20 Codere
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    47%
    Stake Low 7.5/100
    Odds 2.34 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -8.87
    Best odds 2.39 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense prediction review

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense took place in Primeira Liga on Friday, 30 January 2026 and ended with a 1-0 final score.

The leading model-based prediction for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense is Vitoria Guimaraes to win, with a calculated probability of 77%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 2.16, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's High stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the goals market. BetFTW rates over 2.5 goals at 47%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.34. Of the two available picks, Vitoria Guimaraes to win carries the higher model probability at 77% compared with 47%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.20, compared with a latest recorded price of 2.16. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.