Chelsea 1-1 Burnley

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 72% model probability. We also predict the draw at 19%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    72%
    Stake Low 12.4/100
    Odds 1.47 Novibet Recorded P/L -10.58
    Best odds 1.48 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Draw W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    19%
    Stake Low 6.5/100
    Odds 7.50 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +42.51
    Best odds 7.50 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Chelsea vs Burnley prediction review

Premier League action on Saturday, 21 February 2026 included Chelsea against Burnley, a match that finished 1-1.

BetFTW's model rates over 2.5 goals as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 72%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 1.47 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the match-result market. The model selects the draw, assigning the outcome a 19% probability at latest recorded odds of 7.50. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 goals carries the higher model probability at 72% compared with 19%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW shows best recorded odds of 1.48 for the primary prediction, while its latest recorded odds are 1.47. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.