Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 47% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    47%
    Stake Med 27.0/100
    Odds 3.65 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L -27.73
    Best odds 3.75 LSbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Low 7.1/100
    Odds 1.79 GG.BET Recorded P/L +5.61
    Best odds 1.79 GG.BET
Odds updated
Match analysis

Aston Villa vs Chelsea prediction review

Premier League action on Wednesday, 4 March 2026 included Aston Villa against Chelsea, a match that finished 1-4.

For the match-result market, BetFTW favours the draw at 47%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 3.65, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the goals market. The model selects over 2.5 goals, assigning the outcome a 59% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.79. over 2.5 goals is rated more highly by the model, at 59% compared with 47% for the draw. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 3.75, above its latest recorded odds of 3.65. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.