Brighton 0-1 Arsenal

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is over 2.5 goals, with a 67% model probability. We also predict Brighton to win at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    67%
    Stake Med 33.0/100
    Odds 1.97 1xBet Recorded P/L -34.23
    Best odds 2.01 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Brighton to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    28%
    Stake Low 11.6/100
    Odds 5.40 20Bet Recorded P/L -12.00
    Best odds 5.50 BetVictor
Odds updated
Match analysis

Brighton vs Arsenal prediction review

The Premier League meeting between Brighton and Arsenal finished 0-1 on Wednesday, 4 March 2026.

The leading model-based prediction for Brighton vs Arsenal is over 2.5 goals, with a calculated probability of 67%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.97, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick comes from the match-result market. Brighton to win is rated at 28%, with latest recorded odds of 5.40. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 goals carries the higher model probability at 67% compared with 28%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 2.01, compared with a latest recorded price of 1.97. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.