Newcastle 1-3 Man City

Finished

For this FA Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is Newcastle to win, with a 38% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 60%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Newcastle to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 11.0/100
    Odds 3.30 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -15.45
    Best odds 3.75 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    60%
    Stake Low 6.0/100
    Odds 1.74 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +4.40
    Best odds 1.74 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Newcastle vs Man City prediction review

Newcastle vs Man City took place in FA Cup on Saturday, 7 March 2026 and ended with a 1-3 final score.

For the match-result market, BetFTW favours Newcastle to win at 38%. The selection is shown at latest recorded odds of 3.30 and carries a Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the goals market. The model selects over 2.5 goals, assigning the outcome a 60% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.74. While over 2.5 goals is the higher-probability selection, Newcastle to win provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 3.75, above its latest recorded odds of 3.30. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.