Burnley 0-2 Brighton

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Burnley to win, with a 34% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Burnley to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    34%
    Stake Low 18.5/100
    Odds 5.25 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -18.47
    Best odds 5.25 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    64%
    Stake Low 16.6/100
    Odds 1.76 GG.BET Recorded P/L -19.33
    Best odds 1.81 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    30%
    Stake Low 9.2/100
    Odds 4.37 1xBet Recorded P/L -9.20
    Best odds 4.37 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Burnley vs Brighton prediction review

The final score was 0-2 when Burnley faced Brighton in Premier League on Saturday, 11 April 2026.

The leading model-based prediction for Burnley vs Brighton is Burnley to win, with a calculated probability of 34%. The selection has latest recorded odds of 5.25 and falls into the Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Beyond the primary selection, BetFTW also evaluates the goals market. over 2.5 goals is rated at 64%, with latest recorded odds of 1.76. Of the two available picks, over 2.5 goals carries the higher model probability at 64% compared with 34%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 5.25. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.