Leeds 3-1 Burnley

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Burnley to win, with a 23% model probability. We also predict the draw at 25%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Burnley to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    23%
    Stake Low 14.4/100
    Odds 10.00 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -14.44
    Best odds 10.00 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    25%
    Stake Low 8.0/100
    Odds 5.40 Stake.com Recorded P/L -8.33
    Best odds 5.50 LeoVegas Sport
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    47%
    Stake Low 7.7/100
    Odds 2.35 20Bet Recorded P/L -7.74
    Best odds 2.35 20Bet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Leeds vs Burnley prediction review

Leeds vs Burnley took place in Premier League on Friday, 1 May 2026 and ended with a 3-1 final score.

BetFTW's model rates Burnley to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 23%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 10.00, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

A second available pick also comes from the match-result market. The model selects the draw, assigning the outcome a 25% probability at latest recorded odds of 5.40. the draw is rated more highly by the model, at 25% compared with 23% for Burnley to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 10.00. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.