Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 43% model probability. We also predict Burnley to win at 28%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    43%
    Stake Med 26.2/100
    Odds 4.40 20Bet Recorded P/L +94.27
    Best odds 4.52 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Burnley to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    28%
    Stake Low 13.6/100
    Odds 6.00 BetVictor Recorded P/L -14.15
    Best odds 6.20 Betano
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    56%
    Stake Low 5.3/100
    Odds 1.87 1xBet Recorded P/L +5.13
    Best odds 1.88 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Burnley vs Aston Villa prediction review

The Premier League meeting between Burnley and Aston Villa finished 2-2 on Sunday, 10 May 2026.

The model's strongest available selection is the draw, rated at 43%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 4.40, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The match-result market provides another BetFTW selection for this event. Burnley to win is rated at 28%, with latest recorded odds of 6.00. the draw is rated more highly by the model, at 43% compared with 28% for Burnley to win. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The primary selection reached best recorded odds of 4.52, compared with a latest recorded price of 4.40. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.