Arouca 4-0 Moreirense

Finished

For this Primeira Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is Arouca to win, with a 59% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Arouca to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Med 26.2/100
    Odds 2.25 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +32.75
    Best odds 2.25 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    54%
    Stake Low 16.0/100
    Odds 2.21 1xBet Recorded P/L +19.34
    Best odds 2.21 1xBet
Odds updated
Match analysis

Arouca vs Moreirense prediction review

Arouca and Moreirense met in Primeira Liga on Sunday, 16 August 2026, with the event ending 4-0.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Arouca to win and assigns the outcome a 59% probability. The selection has latest recorded odds of 2.25 and falls into the Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The goals market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. BetFTW rates over 2.5 goals at 54%, compared with latest recorded odds of 2.21. Of the two available picks, Arouca to win carries the higher model probability at 59% compared with 54%. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 2.25. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.