Burnley 1-1 Derby County

Finished

For this Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Burnley to win, with a 74% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Burnley to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    74%
    Stake Med 43.8/100
    Odds 1.86 Bet9ja Recorded P/L -43.77
    Best odds 1.86 Bet9ja
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    59%
    Stake Low 9.6/100
    Odds 1.83 Fezbet Recorded P/L -13.90
    Best odds 1.91 bet365
Odds updated
Match analysis

Burnley vs Derby County prediction review

Championship action on Saturday, 19 September 2026 included Burnley against Derby County, a match that finished 1-1.

The highest-rated BetFTW selection for this event is Burnley to win, which carries a 74% model probability. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.86, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The goals market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. over 2.5 goals is rated at 59%, with latest recorded odds of 1.83. Burnley to win is rated more highly by the model, at 74% compared with 59% for over 2.5 goals. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

No difference is shown between the best and latest recorded odds, which both stand at 1.86. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.