Turkey 1-4 Italy

Finished

For this UEFA Nations League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 40% model probability. We also predict Turkey to win at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    40%
    Stake Low 16.2/100
    Odds 3.52 1xBet Recorded P/L -16.19
    Best odds 3.52 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Turkey to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    38%
    Stake Low 6.2/100
    Odds 2.95 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -12.17
    Best odds 3.40 Betano
Odds updated
Match analysis

Turkey vs Italy prediction review

UEFA Nations League action on Monday, 28 September 2026 included Turkey against Italy, a match that finished 1-4.

Among the available predictions, the draw receives the highest model rating at 40%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 3.52, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

BetFTW publishes a second selection from the match-result market for this event. Turkey to win is rated at 38%, with latest recorded odds of 2.95. Of the two available picks, the draw carries the higher model probability at 40% compared with 38%. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 3.52. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.