France 4-1 Belgium

Finished

For this UEFA Nations League match, BetFTW's top pick is France to win, with a 73% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 72%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 France to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    73%
    Stake Med 26.5/100
    Odds 1.58 Novibet Recorded P/L +15.34
    Best odds 1.58 Novibet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    72%
    Stake Low 24.5/100
    Odds 1.59 Novibet Recorded P/L +14.48
    Best odds 1.59 Novibet
Odds updated
Match analysis

France vs Belgium prediction review

France and Belgium met in UEFA Nations League on Monday, 5 October 2026, with the event ending 4-1.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects France to win and assigns the outcome a 73% probability. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.58, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

BetFTW also has a prediction available in the goals market. over 2.5 goals is rated at 72%, with latest recorded odds of 1.59. France to win is rated more highly by the model, at 73% compared with 72% for over 2.5 goals. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The primary selection has matching best and latest recorded prices of 1.58. The original model probability, recorded prices, stake band and settled outcome remain on this page as a transparent historical prediction record.