Italy 3-1 Turkey

Finished

For this UEFA Nations League match, BetFTW's top pick is Italy to win, with a 77% model probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 72%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Italy to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    77%
    Stake Med 40.5/100
    Odds 1.63 Novibet Recorded P/L +27.05
    Best odds 1.65 bet-at-home
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    72%
    Stake Med 33.1/100
    Odds 1.72 Casumo Sport Recorded P/L +23.84
    Best odds 1.72 Casumo Sport
Odds updated
Match analysis

Italy vs Turkey prediction review

Italy vs Turkey took place in UEFA Nations League on Monday, 5 October 2026 and ended with a 3-1 final score.

BetFTW's model rates Italy to win as the leading prediction for the event, with an estimated probability of 77%. Latest recorded odds for the pick are 1.63, with BetFTW assigning it a Medium stake rating. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The goals market provides another BetFTW prediction for this event. BetFTW rates over 2.5 goals at 72%, compared with latest recorded odds of 1.72. The predictions cover different markets, with the model assigning the higher probability to Italy to win. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The best price recorded for the primary pick is 1.65, above its latest recorded odds of 1.63. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.