Italy 4-3 Japan

Finished

For this WCH IA match, BetFTW's top pick is Italy to win, with a 80% model probability. We also predict under 5.5 goals at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Italy to win W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    80%
    Stake Med 47.7/100
    Odds 1.62 Bwin Recorded P/L +29.60
    Best odds 1.62 Bwin
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 5.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    58%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 1.85 Betway Recorded P/L -8.59
    Best odds 1.85 Betway
Odds updated
Match analysis

Italy vs Japan prediction review

The WCH IA meeting between Italy and Japan finished 4-3 on Tuesday, 30 April 2024.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects Italy to win and assigns the outcome a 80% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.62, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the goals market. The model selects under 5.5 goals, assigning the outcome a 58% probability at latest recorded odds of 1.85. Italy to win is rated more highly by the model, at 80% compared with 58% for under 5.5 goals. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.62. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.