Poland 1-2 Lithuania

Finished

For this WCH IA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 5.5 goals, with a 67% model probability. We also predict Poland to win at 78%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 5.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Event probability
    67%
    Stake Low 13.8/100
    Odds 1.62 Fezbet Recorded P/L +8.54
    Best odds 1.62 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Poland to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    78%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 1.33 Interwetten Recorded P/L -30.17
    Best odds 1.46 Bet9ja
Odds updated
Match analysis

Poland vs Lithuania prediction review

Poland and Lithuania met in WCH IA on Friday, 8 May 2026, with the event ending 1-2.

For this event, the BetFTW model selects under 5.5 goals and assigns the outcome a 67% probability. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.62, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Low stake band. The selection was settled as a winning pick.

The model provides an additional view of the event through the match-result market. For this market, Poland to win carries a 78% model probability and latest recorded odds of 1.33. While Poland to win is the higher-probability selection, under 5.5 goals provides an additional prediction for a different market. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.62. The page preserves the model probability, best and latest recorded odds, stake band and result to provide a transparent historical record.