Tommy Paul 2-1 Rafael Nadal

Finished

For this ATP Paris match, BetFTW's top pick is Rafael Nadal to win, with a 81% model probability. We also predict under 2.5 sets at 70%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Rafael Nadal to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    81%
    Stake Med 43.4/100
    Odds 1.51 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -43.38
    Best odds 1.51 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Event probability
    70%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 1.63 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -22.00
    Best odds 1.63 Pinnacle
Odds updated
Match analysis

Tommy Paul vs Rafael Nadal prediction review

Tommy Paul and Rafael Nadal met in ATP Paris on Wednesday, 2 November 2022, with the event ending 2-1.

The leading model-based prediction for Tommy Paul vs Rafael Nadal is Rafael Nadal to win, with a calculated probability of 81%. The prediction's latest recorded price is 1.51, while its calculated edge places it in BetFTW's Medium stake band. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

Another available betting angle for the event comes from the total-sets market. BetFTW rates under 2.5 sets at 70%, compared with latest recorded odds of 1.63. Rafael Nadal to win is rated more highly by the model, at 81% compared with 70% for under 2.5 sets. The selection was settled as a losing pick.

The best and latest recorded odds for the primary pick are both 1.51. BetFTW retains the published probability, recorded odds, stake and settlement so the original prediction can be reviewed after the event.